trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $41 | $0 | −$41 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $2,499 | +$40,382 | +1616% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 | Dec 04 | $5 | +$8 | +138% |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 | Dec 04 | $6 | +$14 | +212% |
| Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $41 | +$93 | +224% |
| Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $90 | +$512 | +572% |
| Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 | Dec 04 | $171 | +$778 | +456% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Dec 04 | $71 | −$41 | -58% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 7 | +445.4% | +393.5% | 86% | 86% | +1314.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +393.5% | 86% | +1314.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +346.2% | 86% | +1178.7% |
| 15% | +303.1% | 86% | +1055.2% |
| 20% | +263.6% | 86% | +941.9% |