Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:24:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x069a…4634
tech · 7 markets active 190d ago
2.5score
+$41,746 +1448%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41,746 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$41,746
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses6 / 1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage4d
Avg bet$412
Trades / day34.5
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes 49¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 04 $2,499 +$40,382 +1616%
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 Dec 04 $5 +$8 +138%
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 Dec 04 $6 +$14 +212%
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? Dec 04 $41 +$93 +224%
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Dec 04 $90 +$512 +572%
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 Dec 04 $171 +$778 +456%
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Dec 04 $71 −$41 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
tech 91% +$40,434
other 6% +$792
culture 3% +$512
politics 0% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $9,051 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $9,051 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $6,028 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $8,037 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? SELL Yes 100¢ $10,716 190d
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 49¢ $41 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $15 190d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $3 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes $22 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes $17 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes $8 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes $2 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes 10¢ $3 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? SELL Yes 10¢ $5 190d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? BUY Yes $3 192d
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? BUY Yes $2 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $2 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $162 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $25 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $2 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $8 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $12 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 10¢ $187 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes 10¢ $24 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $3 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $3 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $1 192d
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? BUY Yes $1 192d
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY No 42¢ $5 192d
Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 202 BUY Yes 18¢ $171 192d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +86%
net ROI/market (all)+393.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 7 +445.4% +393.5% 86% 86% +1314.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +393.5% 86% +1314.1%
10% ← realistic here +346.2% 86% +1178.7%
15% +303.1% 86% +1055.2%
20% +263.6% 86% +941.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 147 history records