Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x069c…cf63
crypto · 461 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$806 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$836 · open −$30
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$292
Realized+$836
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses248 / 208
Open positions5
Markets (closed)456 / 461
History coverage1d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day3041.0
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 456 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$836
7 days+$836
14 days+$836
30 days+$836
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 54¢ 48¢ $90 $81 −$9 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 57¢ 52¢ $72 $65 −$7 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 54¢ 52¢ $50 $48 −$2 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 48¢ $49 $43 −$6 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 52¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 48¢ 10¢ $20 $4 −$16 (-80%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$24 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $166 +$45 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$3 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$16 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$68 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$143 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $291 −$33 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$11 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$10 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$17 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$44 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$87 +139%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$20 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$61 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $68 −$44 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$30 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$40 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $115 −$84 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$20 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$30 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$9 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$59 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$806
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 456 +8.8% -1.5% 54% 47% -6.3%
≤30d 456 +8.8% -1.5% 54% 47% -6.3%
≤90d 456 +8.8% -1.5% 54% 47% -6.3%
all 456 +8.8% -1.5% 54% 47% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3041.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.5% 47% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 42% -15.2%
15% -19.6% 33% -23.4%
20% -27.4% 27% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $292.33 · official $312.52 · 3500 history records