Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:34:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06a2…46c9
crypto · 735 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$796 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$796 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$796
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses387 / 348
Open positions0
Markets (closed)735 / 735
History coverage63d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day47.3
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 735 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$4
14 days−$1
30 days+$136
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$8 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$14 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$12 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $6 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 +$9 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $24 +$46 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $11 +$9 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $7 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 06 $29 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $17 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 04 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$6 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$16 +402%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $16 −$16 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $4 +$6 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 01 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET May 31 $39 +$21 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET May 31 $22 −$21 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$796
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-2.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +24.8% +12.9% 50% 50% -7.8%
≤30d 270 +6.7% -3.5% 51% 50% -6.9%
≤90d 735 +7.8% -2.4% 53% 51% -5.0%
all 735 +7.8% -2.4% 53% 51% -5.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.4% 51% -5.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.8% 46% -14.1%
15% -20.3% 40% -22.4%
20% -28.1% 34% -30.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records