Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06b2…9f35
crypto · 285 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$94,804 -119%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94,770 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$7,121
Realized−$94,770
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses127 / 285
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)412 / 285
Avg bet$280
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 412 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97,038
7 days−$88,647
14 days−$92,437
30 days−$92,437
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Down 75¢ 100¢ $5,250 $7,012 +$1,762 (+34%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Down 48¢ 37¢ $142 $109 −$32 (-23%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-69%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-30? No 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $494 $0 −$494 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? No 30¢ 0¢ $273 $0 −$273 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19? No 29¢ 0¢ $311 $0 −$311 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $565 $0 −$565 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Aces vs. Storm Aces 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Down 34¢ 0¢ $286 $0 −$286 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Down 43¢ 0¢ $3,121 $0 −$3,121 (-100%)
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 5? Up 31¢ 0¢ $2,531 $0 −$2,531 (-100%)
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19? No 69¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $450 −$450 -100%
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? Jun 12 $273 −$273 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Wolves win on 2025-08-30? Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-19? Jun 12 $311 −$349 -112%
Aces vs. Storm Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Will Tottenham vs. Aston Villa end in a draw? Jun 12 $236 −$236 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19? Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Dodgers vs. Pirates Jun 12 $6,236 −$6,236 -100%
California vs. Oregon State Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-31? Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? Jun 12 $166 −$166 -100%
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-08-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Parma win on 2025-08-30? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Saints vs. Chargers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,856 −$1,856 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? Jun 12 $11,753 −$11,753 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18? Jun 12 $5,741 −$6,107 -106%
ATP Umag – Taberner vs. De Jong Jun 12 $1,884 −$1,884 -100%
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Mannarino Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Cubs vs. Braves Jun 12 $675 −$675 -100%
Nevada vs. Penn State Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-31? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? Jun 12 $788 −$565 -72%
Will Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,103 −$1,103 -100%
MLS: Will Sporting Kansas City beat Seattle Sounders? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Adam Scott win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Ser Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Dying for Sex win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology S Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27? Jun 12 $3,084 −$3,084 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-31? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Jaguars vs. Dolphins Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Will Girona vs. Sevilla end in a draw? Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $459 −$459 -100%
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-09-16? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-31? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-13? Jun 12 $178 −$178 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-08-23? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$2,591
finance 29% +$6,045
sports 1% −$472
other 1% +$726
economics 0% +$3
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 48¢ $144 2h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 35¢ $133 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 34¢ $115 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 29¢ $45 20h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 79¢ $1,560 46h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 79¢ $1,593 46h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 79¢ $797 46h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 77¢ $202 46h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 73¢ $204 46h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 66¢ $112 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 65¢ $145 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 62¢ $157 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 59¢ $337 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? BUY Down 60¢ $194 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 20¢ $206 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 20¢ $206 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 20¢ $206 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 20¢ $206 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 19¢ $196 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 19¢ $196 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 20¢ $206 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 17¢ $176 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 17¢ $176 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 17¢ $186 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Up 18¢ $196 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 15¢ $104 2d
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 15¢ $155 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 33¢ $45 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 31¢ $22 2d
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? BUY Down 24¢ $161 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-39.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -84.9% -86.3% 5% 4% -79.7%
≤30d 142 -82.4% -84.0% 7% 6% -77.6%
≤90d 143 -81.7% -83.4% 8% 6% -77.6%
all 412 -33.3% -39.6% 31% 29% -57.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -39.6% 29% -57.3%
10% -45.4% 22% -61.3%
15% -50.7% 18% -65.1%
20% -55.5% 14% -68.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,121.42 · official $7,121.42 (match) · 3500 history records