trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $80 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $80 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 04 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 27 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | May 23 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 16 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 11 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 07 | $81 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 19 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 16 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 10 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | Apr 08 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 04 | $83 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 30 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 21 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Mar 18 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 15 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 05 | $82 | $0 | +0% |