Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06dc…af59
culture · 134 markets active 60d ago
0.0score
+$65,518 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$65,518 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$65,518
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses102 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
Avg bet$5,885
Trades / day65.6
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Apr 13 $9,801 +$456 +5%
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest Apr 13 $2,929 −$51 -2%
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? Apr 13 $2,706 +$49 +2%
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? Apr 11 $8,125 +$398 +5%
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? Apr 08 $1,243 −$19 -2%
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? Apr 08 $3,099 +$47 +2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 07 $355,000 $0 +0%
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? Apr 06 $2,971 +$829 +28%
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? Apr 02 $1,855 +$45 +2%
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31? Apr 02 $1,447 +$294 +20%
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 02 $1,088 +$6 +0%
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? Apr 02 $2,483 +$422 +17%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? Apr 02 $17,191 +$4,094 +24%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? Apr 02 $6,338 +$1,271 +20%
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? Apr 02 $9,753 +$1,420 +15%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 02 $4,063 −$614 -15%
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31? Apr 01 $3,080 +$511 +17%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Apr 01 $688 $0 -0%
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Apr 01 $16,023 +$2,758 +17%
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $4,900 +$869 +18%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $12,242 +$2,712 +22%
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $5,213 +$1,318 +25%
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Mar 31 $6,240 +$163 +3%
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $5,021 +$518 +10%
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $5,642 +$351 +6%
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $2,307 +$190 +8%
Netanyahu out by March 31? Mar 30 $56,702 +$3,169 +6%
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? Mar 30 $3,239 +$63 +2%
Will another country strike Iran by March 31? Mar 29 $13,506 +$2,124 +16%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Mar 29 $3,400 $0 +0%
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? Mar 29 $394 +$14 +4%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 29 $562 −$562 -100%
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? Mar 27 $7,535 +$1,356 +18%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Mar 26 $2,486 +$79 +3%
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? Mar 26 $906 +$70 +8%
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? Mar 26 $1,419 +$148 +10%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, Mar 26 $814 +$16 +2%
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Mar 25 $118 +$5 +4%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, Mar 25 $922 +$27 +3%
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? Mar 25 $5,846 −$1 -0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? Mar 25 $1,165 +$75 +6%
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? Mar 24 $3,966 −$54 -1%
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 19.5m and 21m? Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m? Mar 24 $146 −$115 -79%
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and Mar 24 $5,178 −$3,512 -68%
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m? Mar 23 $692 +$119 +17%
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m? Mar 23 $727 −$536 -74%
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 16.5m? Mar 23 $450 +$49 +11%
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? Mar 23 $5,883 −$111 -2%
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and Mar 22 $3,601 +$344 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 46% +$122
world 28% +$60,906
culture 13% +$81
other 12% +$4,409
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $149 59d
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $9,850 59d
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $169 59d
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest SELL Yes 97¢ $2,878 59d
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 90¢ $1,625 59d
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 91¢ $244 61d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $312 62d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $1,119 63d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $12 63d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $3,908 63d
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $28 63d
Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 63d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 31¢ $122 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 32¢ $16 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 40¢ $1 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 40¢ $2 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 40¢ $36 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 30¢ $30 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 30¢ $30 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 30¢ $28 64d
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30? SELL No 31¢ $87 64d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $950 64d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $950 65d
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 94¢ $1,880 65d
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? SELL No 98¢ $1,251 67d
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? SELL No 98¢ $706 67d
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $475 67d
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $74 68d
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $74 68d
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 95¢ $1,266 68d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+28.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 65 +3.9% -6.0% 72% 29% -5.7%
all 134 +41.9% +28.4% 76% 35% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +28.4% 35% -2.0%
10% +16.1% 19% -11.4%
15% ← realistic here +4.9% 16% -19.9%
20% -5.4% 13% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records