Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T19:48:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
06 0x06e1…e6d5 other 11 markets active 1h ago coverage 11d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2,284 (-32%) realized −$2,284 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -72% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -75% what you keep after slip
Net edge-75%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$653per market
Trades / day1.6pace
Fees−$68est.
Kalshi-fit36%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$357
14 days−$2,301
30 days−$2,301
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 57% −$1,945
sports 43% −$357
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-75.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -50.4% -55.1% 0% 0% -35.9%
≤30d 7 -72.3% -75.0% 0% 0% -73.3%
≤90d 7 -72.3% -75.0% 0% 0% -73.3%
all 7 -72.3% -75.0% 0% 0% -73.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -75.0% 0% -73.3%
10% -77.3% 0% -75.9%
15% -79.5% 0% -78.2%
20% -81.5% 0% -80.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -71% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -72% · $-wt -71% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$329 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

11d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,284
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Est. fees paid−$68
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 11
History coverage11d
Avg bet$653
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score Jun 27 $873 −$7 -1%
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) Jun 24 $355 −$350 -98%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $1,124 −$1,003 -89%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $748 −$736 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 17 $102 −$6 -5%
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? Jun 16 $103 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway? Jun 16 $103 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5 AND Colombi BUY 27¢ $861 1h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 59¢ $866 1h
Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 58¢ $873 3h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5 AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? A BUY 20¢ $975 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06 BUY 30¢ $1,021 3d
Spread: Colombia (-1.5) BUY Colombia 49¢ $355 3d
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? A BUY 33¢ $915 4d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 28¢ $1,021 9d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 43¢ $192 10d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 29¢ $95 10d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? SELL No 44¢ $96 10d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 43¢ $455 10d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 45¢ $102 10d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 30¢ $102 10d
Will England win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 43¢ $102 10d
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 15¢ $103 11d
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway? BUY Yes 13¢ $103 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $842.80 · 17 history records