Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06e3…3bfa
crypto · 183 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$13 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses103 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$4
14 days+$6
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$2 +111%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $0 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -4.7% -13.8% 46% 46% -12.8%
≤30d 183 +2.0% -7.7% 56% 56% -7.1%
≤90d 183 +2.0% -7.7% 56% 56% -7.1%
all 183 +2.0% -7.7% 56% 56% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.7% 56% -7.1%
10% -16.6% 50% -16.0%
15% -24.6% 44% -24.1%
20% -32.0% 36% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 334 history records