Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:42:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06ee…97d2
crypto · 1146 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$16 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$104 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$16
Realized−$104
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses709 / 434
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1143 / 1146
History coverage56d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day41.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$103
14 days+$7
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 77¢ 96¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 82¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 64¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 75¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 86¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 39¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 79¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 62¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 56¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 59¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 35¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 77¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 37¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 68¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +56%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +70%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$159
world 5% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $0 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 10m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $0 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 350 -10.4% -18.9% 65% 59% -15.0%
≤30d 1026 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 46% -10.1%
≤90d 1143 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 47% -10.9%
all 1143 -6.7% -15.6% 62% 47% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 47% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 35% -19.4%
15% -31.1% 20% -27.2%
20% -37.8% 11% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.40 · official $16.15 (match) · 3147 history records