Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06ee…d713
sports · 93 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$20 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$19 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses64 / 28
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)92 / 93
History coverage68d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 1 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$8
14 days+$13
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -56%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +106%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $4 +$4 +98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12 +$5 +43%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $1 $0 -23%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $3 −$2 -74%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $1 −$1 -67%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $2 $0 +24%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $3 +$1 +24%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $1 $0 +14%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 06 $2 +$2 +101%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $1 +$1 +60%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +13%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $5 $0 +5%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $8 +$4 +46%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $2 −$1 -51%
Romania leading at halftime? Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 02 $3 −$1 -25%
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24? Jun 02 $5 +$1 +21%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +56%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +20%
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $4 +$2 +40%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $2 $0 -16%
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelim May 30 $1 $0 +19%
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims) May 30 $2 $0 +14%
UFC Fight Night: Aoriqileng vs. Cody Haddon (Bantamweight, Prelims) May 30 $1 $0 +20%
Pumas de la UNAM leading at halftime? May 25 $1 $0 +14%
Manchester United FC leading at halftime? May 24 $2 −$2 -81%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 $0 +21%
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 $0 +30%
US Sassuolo Calcio leading at halftime? May 24 $1 $0 +19%
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 24 $1 −$1 -64%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven May 23 $3 $0 +7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-22? May 23 $2 +$1 +31%
Mexico leading at halftime? May 23 $1 $0 +8%
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-16? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ghana win on 2026-05-22? May 23 $1 $0 +5%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21? May 22 $2 $0 -29%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees May 21 $25 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $5 $0 -5%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $2 +$1 +73%
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $2 $0 -10%
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-16? May 17 $1 +$1 +118%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C May 17 $2 +$1 +34%
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavy May 17 $2 $0 +15%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% +$3
other 34% +$23
weather 10% −$5
crypto 11% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 62¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 27¢ $1 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 24h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 79¢ $8 46h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $6 5d
Spread: France (-1.5) SELL France 58¢ $1 5d
Spread: France (-1.5) BUY France 74¢ $1 5d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main SELL Belal Muhammad 14¢ $1 6d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 52¢ $3 7d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) SELL Farés Ziam 25¢ $0 7d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Farés Ziam 74¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M SELL Iwo Baraniewski 99¢ $3 7d
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M BUY Iwo Baraniewski 79¢ $2 7d
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli BUY Alessandro Costa 80¢ $3 7d
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) SELL Marcus McGhee 90¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) BUY Marcus McGhee 78¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) SELL Édgar Cháirez 100¢ $4 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) BUY Édgar Cháirez 49¢ $2 7d
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant BUY Priscila Cachoeira 64¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P SELL Joanderson Brito 99¢ $2 7d
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P BUY Joanderson Brito 61¢ $1 7d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 87¢ $1 7d
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 89¢ $2 7d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +15.6% +4.6% 50% 50% +19.1%
≤30d 55 +4.9% -5.1% 69% 55% +0.3%
≤90d 92 +11.3% +0.7% 70% 57% -2.4%
all 92 +11.3% +0.7% 70% 57% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +0.7% 57% -2.4%
10% -9.0% 27% -11.7%
15% -17.8% 20% -20.3%
20% -25.8% 15% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.99 · official $5.99 (match) · 251 history records