Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:40:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06f3…e027
crypto · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$18 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$8 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$10 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $11 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -13.8% -22.0% 33% 33% -40.8%
≤30d 3 -13.8% -22.0% 33% 33% -40.8%
≤90d 3 -13.8% -22.0% 33% 33% -40.8%
all 3 -13.8% -22.0% 33% 33% -40.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 33% -40.8%
10% -29.5% 33% -46.4%
15% -36.3% 33% -51.6%
20% -42.5% 33% -56.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records