Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06f4…3916
other · 112 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$75 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses6 / 105
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)111 / 112
History coverage109d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 100¢ 100¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Hornets vs. Nets Nets 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Hawks Grizzlies 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Bulls Rockets 77¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Trail Blazers Bucks 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Bucks Bucks 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Jun 14 $19 $0 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $16 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $195 $0 -0%
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Jun 07 $32 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $632 −$1 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $17 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $19 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $23 $0 -0%
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 29 $193 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $329 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 26 $184 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 26 $181 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 25 $192 $0 -0%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 25 $180 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 24 $160 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? May 22 $161 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 21 $144 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 20 $338 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? May 19 $157 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 19 $173 $0 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $166 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 17 $136 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 16 $162 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio May 15 $193 $0 -0%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 13 $180 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 13 $300 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 12 $183 $0 -0%
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 12 $200 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $145 $0 -0%
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 11 $169 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 10 $355 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $18 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 09 $163 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $549 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $166 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $336 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $314 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 30 $174 $0 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 29 $200 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $149 $0 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $161 $0 +0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 26 $165 $0 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 26 $55 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 26 $159 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $191 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $171 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $190 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $198 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 21 $165 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $193 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$11
politics 35% −$9
sports 6% −$57
economics 3% $0
crypto 2% $0
tech 2% $0
world 1% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $17 1h
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $19 1h
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $19 8h
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 2d
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 5d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $25 5d
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $25 6d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $32 6d
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $32 7d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $32 7d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $32 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $17 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $17 9d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $19 14d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $19 14d
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $23 14d
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $23 15d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $193 15d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $193 17d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $171 17d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $171 17d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $184 18d
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $184 18d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $181 18d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $181 19d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $192 19d
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $192 20d
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $180 20d
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $180 20d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $160 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 24 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 106 -3.6% -12.7% 4% 3% -9.8%
all 111 -4.3% -13.4% 5% 3% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 3% -9.9%
10% -21.7% 1% -18.5%
15% -29.3% 1% -26.4%
20% -36.2% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.99 · official $16.99 (match) · 323 history records