Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06f7…53e0
weather · 1577 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$23 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$116
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1275 / 303
Open positions18
Markets (closed)1578 / 1577
Avg bet$7
Trades / day72.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 18 History 1578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$26
14 days+$1
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? No 95¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? No 98¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? No 97¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? No 69¢ 74¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 12? No 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 12? No 94¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 12? No 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 97¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? No 96¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? No 97¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 12? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 25? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 24? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on May 27? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 7? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C or higher on May 26? No 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 21? No 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 29? No 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 2? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on May 2? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 2? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 3? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 1? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 2? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 1? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 12 $3 +$2 +51%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 11? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 44°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 43°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 11 $3 +$2 +57%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 83°F or below on June 10? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 60¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 62¢ $6 4h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 70¢ $7 4h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $10 6h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 7h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $10 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 10h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $5 14h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 93¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY No 93¢ $9 17h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on June BUY No 99¢ $5 19h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 84¢ $4 19h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju BUY No 94¢ $5 19h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY No 65¢ $3 19h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on BUY No 99¢ $5 22h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on Ju BUY No 97¢ $5 22h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $5 22h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11? BUY No 96¢ $5 26h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 11? BUY No 87¢ $4 26h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $10 27h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 11? BUY No 97¢ $5 28h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11? BUY No 84¢ $4 28h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $5 28h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 11? BUY No 84¢ $4 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -5.2% -14.3% 77% 11% -10.9%
≤30d 1555 -0.6% -10.1% 81% 9% -9.7%
≤90d 1578 -0.5% -10.0% 81% 9% -9.6%
all 1578 -0.5% -10.0% 81% 9% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 9% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 3% -18.3%
15% -26.5% 2% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.51 · official $111.38 · 3500 history records