trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$13 | +249% |
| France leading at halftime? | Jun 08 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? | Jun 04 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 31 | $5 | +$14 | +276% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 07 | $5 | +$23 | +442% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? | May 05 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 30 | $5 | +$13 | +250% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 28 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 15 | $15 | +$6 | +39% |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19? | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Mar 17 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? | Mar 11 | $10 | +$24 | +240% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Feb 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Feb 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19? | Feb 19 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? | Feb 18 | $14 | +$16 | +117% |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | Feb 11 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11? | Feb 11 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Feb 11 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Feb 11 | $10 | +$5 | +49% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Feb 11 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +141.5% | +118.5% | 100% | 100% | +86.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +57.0% | +42.0% | 57% | 57% | +39.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +32.0% | +19.4% | 47% | 47% | +17.5% |
| all | 27 | +25.5% | +13.6% | 48% | 48% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.6% | 48% | +5.5% |
| 10% | +2.7% | 44% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -7.2% | 41% | -13.8% |
| 20% | -16.3% | 33% | -22.3% |