Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:31:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

06
0x06fa…31d9
sports · 194 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses112 / 71
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions11
Markets (closed)183 / 194
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 11 History 183 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$13
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 6¢ 11¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+78%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 78¢ 96¢ $12 $15 +$3 (+23%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 83¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 42¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 19¢ 38¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+97%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 93¢ 92¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 69¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No 30¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Yes 16¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $5 −$1 -19%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $4 $0 +7%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $2 +$2 +94%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $2 +$2 +93%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 $0 +23%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $2 +$1 +55%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$1 -30%
Ilkley: Kyrian Jacquet vs Toby Samuel Jun 08 $2 $0 -9%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +34%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $6 +$2 +34%
Cattolica: Andrea Guerrieri vs Dalibor Svrcina Jun 08 $3 $0 +14%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $5 −$1 -22%
Modena: Jeline Vandromme vs Angela Fita Boluda Jun 08 $2 $0 +20%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Jun 08 $1 $0 +20%
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $5 +$2 +48%
Ilkley: August Holmgren vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Jun 08 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $9 +$3 +34%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $4 $0 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $5 −$4 -70%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 08 $5 −$2 -35%
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $5 −$2 -34%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jazmin Ortenzi Jun 08 $1 $0 +38%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume Jun 08 $2 +$1 +39%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa Jun 08 $5 +$4 +85%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +32%
Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce Jun 08 $5 −$3 -67%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 −$2 -38%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $3 $0 +15%
Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery Jun 08 $5 −$1 -13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $4 −$2 -55%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$4 +73%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Mees Rottgering Jun 08 $3 +$1 +40%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Yosuke Watanuki Jun 08 $2 +$1 +41%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $5 +$3 +67%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 08 $4 −$3 -64%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$3 +52%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$23
world 5% +$8
other 5% −$4
politics 3% +$3
crypto 2% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 33¢ $1 18h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 34¢ $2 18h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $0 19h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $1 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 17¢ $1 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 16¢ $1 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 16¢ $1 19h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 17¢ $1 20h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 17¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 20h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 23¢ $1 20h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 21¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 +0.6% -9.0% 63% 58% -12.5%
≤30d 183 -1.8% -11.1% 61% 57% -13.2%
≤90d 183 -1.8% -11.1% 61% 57% -13.2%
all 183 -1.8% -11.1% 61% 57% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 57% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 45% -21.5%
15% -27.4% 31% -29.1%
20% -34.5% 20% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $71.32 · official $71.32 (match) · 816 history records