Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0705…979d
crypto · 215 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses122 / 93
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)215 / 215
History coverage16d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day28.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$12
14 days−$40
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -29%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$32
sports 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 13h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 56¢ $6 36h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 38¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -8.5% -17.2% 50% 19% -14.8%
≤30d 215 -10.9% -19.4% 57% 18% -14.8%
≤90d 215 -10.9% -19.4% 57% 18% -14.8%
all 215 -10.9% -19.4% 57% 18% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 18% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 7% -22.9%
15% -34.1% 4% -30.4%
20% -40.6% 2% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 534 history records