trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +48.0% | +33.9% | 57% | 50% | +3.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +31.6% | +19.0% | 50% | 44% | -6.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +31.6% | +19.0% | 50% | 44% | -6.7% |
| all | 18 | +31.6% | +19.0% | 50% | 44% | -6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.0% | 44% | -6.7% |
| 10% | +7.6% | 39% | -15.6% |
| 15% | -2.8% | 39% | -23.8% |
| 20% | -12.3% | 33% | -31.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $494 | $490 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $205 | $204 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 44¢ | 50¢ | $176 | $203 | +$27 (+15%) |
| Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 70¢ | 69¢ | $101 | $100 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 73¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 90¢ | $52 | $65 | +$13 (+24%) |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | $52 | $50 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $35 | $36 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $77 | −$76 | -99% |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $102 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $53 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $69 | −$58 | -84% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $42 | +$128 | +307% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$98 | +97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $55 | +$145 | +262% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $62 | +$38 | +62% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $41 | +$111 | +272% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $179 | −$175 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $47 | +$53 | +112% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $59 | −$58 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | Jun 08 | $25 | −$15 | -58% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $159 | −$100 | -63% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? | Jun 03 | $105 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? | Jun 03 | $64 | +$13 | +20% |