Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:24:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0739…aba8
weather · 865 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$2,195 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,489 · open −$362
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,451
Realized+$2,489
Unrealized−$362
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses230 / 96
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions462
Markets (closed)326 / 865
History coverage6d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day567.7
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 462 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$902
7 days+$2,489
14 days+$2,489
30 days+$2,489
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 71¢ 68¢ $352 $333 −$19 (-5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 83¢ 76¢ $285 $259 −$26 (-9%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 77¢ 82¢ $182 $193 +$10 (+6%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? Yes 48¢ 75¢ $118 $184 +$66 (+56%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Yes 70¢ 83¢ $133 $157 +$24 (+18%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 83¢ 76¢ $172 $157 −$15 (-9%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 21¢ 30¢ $106 $152 +$46 (+43%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? No 56¢ 80¢ $103 $148 +$45 (+44%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? Yes 34¢ 62¢ $72 $129 +$57 (+78%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? No 43¢ 46¢ $120 $128 +$8 (+7%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 92¢ 96¢ $117 $122 +$5 (+4%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 77¢ 84¢ $112 $122 +$9 (+8%)
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 85¢ 87¢ $115 $118 +$3 (+3%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? Yes 26¢ 33¢ $90 $112 +$23 (+25%)
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes 88¢ 84¢ $110 $105 −$5 (-5%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes 69¢ 82¢ $80 $95 +$15 (+19%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 35¢ 34¢ $97 $95 −$3 (-3%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 36¢ 63¢ $51 $90 +$39 (+77%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 33¢ 26¢ $109 $87 −$23 (-21%)
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $86 $86 +$0 (+0%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 29¢ 27¢ $94 $86 −$9 (-9%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 38¢ 36¢ $88 $84 −$3 (-4%)
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? Yes 24¢ 56¢ $35 $84 +$49 (+137%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 83¢ 84¢ $83 $83 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No 85¢ 92¢ $74 $81 +$7 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube v Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video? Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $16 +$2 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $8 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$6 -86%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $16 +$1 +9%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $11 +$21 +188%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +151%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Will the announcers say "Legend" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $17 +$28 +161%
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA Wor Jun 13 $3 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$114 +1071%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $38 −$17 -45%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -32%
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14? Jun 13 $3 −$1 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +384%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? Jun 13 $27 +$10 +37%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $53 +$19 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Jun 13 $1 +$1 +82%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $57 +$3 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Jun 13 $36 +$67 +184%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 +$88 +4666%
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last E Jun 13 $45 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $17 +$5 +30%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? Jun 12 $61 +$24 +40%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 12 $1 +$6 +501%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $32 +$11 +34%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $40 $0 -1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$27 +257%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 27% +$313
weather 17% +$803
world 16% +$242
sports 14% +$652
politics 10% −$87
tech 8% +$93
crypto 6% +$223
finance 1% −$121
culture 0% +$4
economics 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 11m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 43¢ $8 13m
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY Yes 95¢ $1 13m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 15m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 16m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 16m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 19¢ $2 18m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY No 19¢ $1 23m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 48¢ $4 24m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 52¢ $4 25m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 57¢ $1 26m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY Yes 53¢ $6 26m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 27m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $2 28m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $6 31m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $3 32m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $5 32m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $12 32m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 34m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 34m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 34¢ $3 34m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 30¢ $7 35m
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY Yes 94¢ $1 35m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? BUY No 43¢ $4 36m
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June BUY Yes 93¢ $2 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $3 38m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $4 39m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $7 39m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 55¢ $1 40m
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 40¢ $7 41m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+51.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 +67.0% +51.1% 71% 55% +24.9%
≤30d 326 +67.0% +51.1% 71% 55% +24.9%
≤90d 326 +67.0% +51.1% 71% 55% +24.9%
all 326 +67.0% +51.1% 71% 55% +24.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover567.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.1% 55% +24.9%
10% ← realistic here +36.7% 47% +12.9%
15% +23.5% 36% +2.0%
20% +11.4% 28% -8.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,451.10 · official $9,695.17 · 3500 history records