trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 18¢ | 56¢ | $1 | $3 | +$2 (+214%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 32¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+17%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 | Jun 14 | $3 | +$1 | +48% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -55% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +226% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -81% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$11 | +109% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$10 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -86% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +41% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 44% | 44% | -20.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 44% | 44% | -20.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 44% | 44% | -20.3% |
| all | 16 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 44% | 44% | -20.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.0% | 44% | -20.3% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 44% | -27.9% |
| 15% | -33.0% | 38% | -34.9% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 25% | -41.3% |