Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x073b…b9cf
crypto · 29 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
−$176,579 -205%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$176,579 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$176,579
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses11 / 218
Whale WR (big bets)10%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)229 / 29
Avg bet$2,977
Trades / day3494.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$176,579
7 days−$176,579
14 days−$176,579
30 days−$176,579
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $690 $0 −$690 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $739 $0 −$739 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2,687 $0 −$2,687 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2,151 $0 −$2,151 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2,432 $0 −$2,432 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4,000 −$4,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $900 −$900 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $690 −$690 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$440 -619%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $739 −$739 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $472 −$472 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2,432 −$2,432 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,200 −$2,200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,023 −$1,023 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $430 −$430 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2,000 −$2,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $625 −$625 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $784 −$784 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31,100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $165 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $192 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $367 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $237 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $217 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $364 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $450 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $120 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $323 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $389 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $9,958 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-83.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -81.8% -83.6% 5% 5% -79.5%
≤30d 229 -81.8% -83.6% 5% 5% -79.5%
≤90d 229 -81.8% -83.6% 5% 5% -79.5%
all 229 -81.8% -83.6% 5% 5% -79.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3494.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -83.6% 5% -79.5%
10% -85.1% 5% -81.4%
15% ← realistic here -86.6% 5% -83.2%
20% -87.9% 5% -84.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records