Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0740…bdd8
crypto · 1057 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,636 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,636 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,636
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1021 / 172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1193 / 1057
History coverage3d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day754.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,816
7 days−$2,636
14 days−$2,636
30 days−$2,636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$12 -181%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$28 -145%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$17 -132%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$46 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$384
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $19 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $18 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $18 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $18 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $17 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $17 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $17 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $17 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1193 -10.9% -19.4% 86% 4% -14.7%
≤30d 1193 -10.9% -19.4% 86% 4% -14.7%
≤90d 1193 -10.9% -19.4% 86% 4% -14.7%
all 1193 -10.9% -19.4% 86% 4% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover754.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 4% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 1% -22.9%
15% -34.2% 0% -30.4%
20% -40.6% 0% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records