trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -48.6% | -53.5% | 0% | 0% | -48.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -58.9% | -62.8% | 0% | 0% | -55.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -58.9% | -62.8% | 0% | 0% | -55.2% |
| all | 9 | +106.3% | +86.7% | 22% | 22% | -54.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +86.7% | 22% | -54.4% |
| 10% | +68.8% | 22% | -58.8% |
| 15% | +52.5% | 22% | -62.7% |
| 20% | +37.5% | 22% | -66.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | Yes | 44¢ | 76¢ | $5,581 | $9,513 | +$3,932 (+70%) |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $671 | $633 | −$38 (-6%) |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 64¢ | 50¢ | $197 | $156 | −$41 (-21%) |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | Yes | 25¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-84%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jun 20 | $4,593 | −$1,211 | -26% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 20 | $1,105 | −$1,063 | -96% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Jun 20 | $1,131 | −$702 | -62% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 20 | $54 | −$5 | -10% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31? | Jun 05 | $993 | −$993 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 02 | $2 | +$2 | +97% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | Feb 01 | $14 | +$179 | +1277% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | Jan 21 | $759 | −$759 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Jan 20 | $995 | −$232 | -23% |