Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T17:56:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0749…fd66 crypto 1327 markets active 1h ago coverage 64d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 63d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$145 (-2%) realized −$145 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate68%905W / 422L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day37.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 46% -13.2%
≤30d 206 -5.4% -14.4% 46% 46% -13.2%
≤90d 1327 -3.5% -12.7% 68% 35% -12.3%
all 1327 -3.5% -12.7% 68% 35% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 35% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 24% -20.7%
15% -28.7% 20% -28.3%
20% -35.7% 16% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

64d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses905 / 422
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1327 / 1327
History coverage64d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1327 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -91%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -34%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -90%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -83%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -72%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$3 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$3 +280%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records