Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:49:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x074f…b0dd
crypto · 77 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
+$6,544 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,418 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,418
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses53 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2,167
Trades / day173.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,410
7 days−$5,688
14 days−$6,766
30 days+$5,418
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1,685 $0 −$1,685 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3,400 $0 −$3,400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1,291 $0 −$1,291 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1,705 $0 −$1,705 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2,352 $0 −$2,352 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2,967 $0 −$2,967 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $711 $0 −$711 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $378 $0 −$378 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $443 $0 −$443 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1,378 $0 −$1,378 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $29,426 $0 −$29,426 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1,946 $0 −$1,946 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1,533 $0 −$1,533 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2,837 $0 −$2,837 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2,090 $0 −$2,090 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1,030 $0 −$1,030 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $733 $0 −$733 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2,425 $0 −$2,425 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1,820 $0 −$1,820 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $884 $0 −$884 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $821 $0 −$821 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4,960 −$60 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $181 +$140 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $217 +$177 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $178 +$96 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1,780 +$1,479 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $450 −$443 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $836 −$821 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $357 +$237 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,332 −$1,291 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $999 +$672 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1,040 +$718 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $3,633 +$3,107 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $817 +$583 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1,279 +$958 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,183 +$927 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $942 +$679 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $757 −$733 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $806 +$658 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,121 +$873 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2,756 +$2,291 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $389 −$378 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1,058 −$1,030 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,710 +$158 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2,129 +$1,855 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,123 +$813 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,152 +$181 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $278 −$278 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $734 −$711 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,356 +$1,020 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,722 −$1,685 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $532 +$416 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $4,360 +$2,667 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,929 +$1,039 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,810 +$1,899 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,663 +$1,223 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $3,424 +$2,415 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,489 −$2,425 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $29,426 −$29,426 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1,307 +$1,057 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1,864 +$1,261 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $2,153 −$2,090 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $1,724 +$1,333 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1,666 +$1,215 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $2,554 +$1,913 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $775 +$581 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1,091 +$809 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 09 $1,534 −$1,533 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $3,657 +$2,587 +71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,418
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +19.6% +8.2% 69% 67% -13.6%
≤30d 77 +54.6% +39.9% 69% 65% -7.7%
≤90d 77 +54.6% +39.9% 69% 65% -7.7%
all 77 +54.6% +39.9% 69% 65% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover173.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +39.9% 65% -7.7%
10% +26.5% 64% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here +14.3% 64% -24.6%
20% +3.1% 64% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2554 history records