Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T11:40:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x075e…a7d8 crypto 1558 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (108 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,003 (-12%) realized −$1,003 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate55%872W / 717L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day107.8pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,383
7 days−$1,200
14 days−$1,142
30 days−$1,085
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% +$314
other 4% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (108 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 542 -20.6% -28.1% 37% 33% -35.4%
≤30d 1510 -3.8% -13.0% 55% 48% -21.7%
≤90d 1589 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 48% -21.6%
all 1589 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 48% -21.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover107.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 48% -21.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 39% -29.1%
15% -29.2% 29% -35.9%
20% -36.1% 20% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$1,003
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses872 / 717
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1589 / 1558
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day107.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1589 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -14%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $12 −$16 -134%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $29 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $6 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $9 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $12 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $12 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $20 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.72 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records