Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:21:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0760…d2c9 crypto 219 markets active 5d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (601 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$615 (-6%) realized −$615 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate44%96W / 123L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day600.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$819
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (601 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 43% -22.7%
≤30d 219 -4.9% -14.0% 44% 41% -17.0%
≤90d 219 -4.9% -14.0% 44% 41% -17.0%
all 219 -4.9% -14.0% 44% 41% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover600.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 41% -17.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 39% -25.0%
15% -29.7% 37% -32.2%
20% -36.6% 35% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
14.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$38 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$615
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses96 / 123
Open positions0
Markets (closed)219 / 219
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day600.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 219 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$30 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$27 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $70 +$38 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$47 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$42 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$52 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$20 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$88 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$16 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$23 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$20 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$16 +614%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$53 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$29 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$45 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$41 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$16 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$45 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$19 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$49 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$200 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$11 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$53 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$58 +220%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $17 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records