Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x0767…8659 crypto 94 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (632 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7 (-2%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR23%break-even
Win rate54%51W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day632.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$37
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (632 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -10.3% -18.9% 54% 23% -18.1%
≤30d 94 -10.3% -18.9% 54% 23% -18.1%
≤90d 94 -10.3% -18.9% 54% 23% -18.1%
all 94 -10.3% -18.9% 54% 23% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover632.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 23% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 10% -26.0%
15% -33.7% 9% -33.1%
20% -40.2% 7% -39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses51 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day632.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 94 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$4 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$5 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $43 −$5 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $32 −$5 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 713 history records