Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:44:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
07 0x076b…75a0 crypto 2203 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (260 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$1,857 (-62%) realized −$1,857 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate65%1099W / 589L
Drawdown25%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day260.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$598
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (260 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1041 +11.2% +0.6% 63% 51% +0.1%
≤30d 1688 +21.5% +10.0% 65% 58% +8.8%
≤90d 1688 +21.5% +10.0% 65% 58% +8.8%
all 1688 +21.5% +10.0% 65% 58% +8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover260.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +10.0% 58% +8.8%
10% ← realistic here -0.6% 56% -1.6%
15% -10.2% 55% -11.1%
20% -19.0% 54% -19.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +22% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +39% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.6 per $1 lost it wins $1.6
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,857
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1099 / 589
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1688 / 2203
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day260.0
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1688 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records