Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:54:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x076d…8d4c
sports · 577 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$9,807 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,024 · open +$4,783
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$359,809
Realized+$5,024
Unrealized+$4,783
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses215 / 223
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$3,500
Open positions139
Markets (closed)438 / 577
Avg bet$1,037
Trades / day268.0
Drawdown90%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 139 History 438 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11,779
7 days+$5,031
14 days+$5,024
30 days+$5,024
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $192,201 $197,037 +$4,835 (+3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 50¢ 52¢ $49,754 $52,021 +$2,267 (+5%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $13,131 $13,260 +$129 (+1%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 55¢ 60¢ $7,776 $8,572 +$796 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 65¢ 92¢ $5,666 $8,083 +$2,417 (+43%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 50¢ 80¢ $3,901 $6,241 +$2,340 (+60%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 54¢ 68¢ $4,643 $5,924 +$1,281 (+28%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 78¢ 58¢ $7,263 $5,397 −$1,866 (-26%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $5,152 $5,121 −$31 (-1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $4,366 $4,392 +$26 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 48¢ $4,001 $4,044 +$43 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ 62¢ $2,792 $3,485 +$693 (+25%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 56¢ $3,318 $3,288 −$30 (-1%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 51¢ 50¢ $3,064 $2,971 −$93 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $2,409 $2,386 −$23 (-1%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 69¢ 100¢ $1,614 $2,339 +$725 (+45%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 55¢ 60¢ $1,834 $1,986 +$152 (+8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $1,756 $1,772 +$17 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 49¢ 50¢ $1,548 $1,584 +$37 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 65¢ 62¢ $1,602 $1,544 −$58 (-4%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Yes 56¢ 57¢ $1,441 $1,491 +$50 (+3%)
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-06-14? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1,436 $1,468 +$32 (+2%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 45¢ 52¢ $1,274 $1,452 +$178 (+14%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 54¢ 22¢ $3,228 $1,285 −$1,942 (-60%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 50¢ 44¢ $1,423 $1,234 −$188 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kayseri: Sofiia Bielinska vs Lan Mi Jun 12 $13 +$14 +109%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Keshav Chopra Jun 12 $289 +$132 +46%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $238 +$33 +14%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $744 +$65 +9%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $290 +$372 +129%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $216 +$53 +24%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6,114 −$154 -2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5,031 +$2,273 +45%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $288 +$33 +12%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $240 +$324 +135%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $78 −$41 -53%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $7 +$7 +97%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $14 +$11 +79%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) Jun 12 $148 −$118 -80%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $16 +$14 +90%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $67 +$27 +40%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $1,141 −$909 -80%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $233 +$55 +23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $107 −$104 -98%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $336 −$58 -17%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $13 +$11 +79%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 12 $27 +$26 +98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5,719 −$5,312 -93%
ITF Wichita: Andrew Fenty vs Thanaphat Boosarawongse Jun 11 $314 −$58 -18%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $4,975 −$4,149 -83%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,047 +$220 +11%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $49 −$17 -35%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $23 +$36 +158%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $173 −$108 -63%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $46 +$41 +88%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $1,873 +$21 +1%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $2,457 +$6 +0%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $231 −$226 -98%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $275 +$37 +13%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $14 +$3 +23%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $20 +$5 +22%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 11 $297 −$11 -4%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $1,751 +$1,418 +81%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,571 +$2,249 +143%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $9 +$1 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 11 $2 +$3 +102%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 +$2 +78%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Lucca Liu Jun 11 $61 −$60 -98%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $31 −$14 -45%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $54 +$28 +53%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $6 −$2 -30%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% +$21,167
crypto 33% +$4,836
other 21% −$16,197
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $130 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $41 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $167 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $83 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $52 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $164 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 28¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 28¢ $16 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $23 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 28¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 28¢ $0 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $50 2h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 52¢ $23 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $26 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $53 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 26¢ $125 2h
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 62¢ $6 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $173 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $13 2h
Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5) BUY Mannarino 35¢ $17 2h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY FURIA 33¢ $7 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $306 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $12 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $1,288 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $41 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $42 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $83 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 BUY Under 59¢ $8 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $100 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $25 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 46% -7.7%
≤30d 438 -5.4% -14.4% 49% 45% -7.7%
≤90d 438 -5.4% -14.4% 49% 45% -7.7%
all 438 -5.4% -14.4% 49% 45% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover268.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 45% -7.7%
10% -22.6% 39% -16.5%
15% ← realistic here -30.1% 32% -24.6%
20% -36.9% 27% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $359,808.53 · official $359,808.74 (match) · 2680 history records