Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:04:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0770…f3a0
sports · 351 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses165 / 177
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions9
Markets (closed)342 / 351
History coverage246d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 9 History 342 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$2
14 days+$7
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+10%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 79¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 91¢ 90¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 90¢ 88¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 82¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? No 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Sentinels 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs Team Liquid 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season FlyQuest 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner Movistar KOI 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +136%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +46%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +40%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $2 +$1 +46%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $3 $0 +16%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -89%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$1 -29%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -89%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 $0 -12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $2 $0 -21%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -85%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +33%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum flipped in 2026? Jun 05 $1 +$5 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +33%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $2 −$1 -26%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $2 +$1 +59%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1 +$2 +238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $2 $0 +2%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1 +$2 +163%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner May 31 $2 $0 -0%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 31 $2 −$1 -25%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 31 $2 +$1 +48%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $2 $0 -8%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $2 $0 -7%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $5 −$2 -36%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 28 $2 +$3 +124%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 24 $2 +$1 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 62% −$39
crypto 14% +$4
other 11% +$13
economics 8% $0
politics 2% $0
world 2% −$10
tech 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 82¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 91¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 80¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 90¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $2 8h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 9h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 90¢ $5 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 80¢ $2 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 30¢ $1 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 32¢ $1 40h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $1 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $1 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 68¢ $1 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner BUY LYON 71¢ $1 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 68¢ $2 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 3¢ $0 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 26¢ $1 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 65¢ $1 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 6¢ $0 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 36¢ $1 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 7¢ $0 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner SELL G2 Esports 61¢ $2 5d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner SELL G2 Esports 60¢ $2 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 17¢ $1 5d
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 26¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +0.3% -9.2% 52% 52% -15.1%
≤30d 82 +1.9% -7.8% 49% 37% -12.5%
≤90d 297 -6.7% -15.6% 44% 38% -20.5%
all 342 -2.3% -11.6% 48% 40% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 40% -12.1%
10% -20.0% 36% -20.5%
15% -27.8% 31% -28.2%
20% -34.8% 23% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.43 · official $13.43 (match) · 835 history records