Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:46:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x077c…c253
crypto · 144 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$131 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized−$131
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses83 / 57
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions4
Markets (closed)140 / 144
History coverage51d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 4 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$121
7 days+$41
14 days+$41
30 days+$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 31¢ 32¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+2%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Yes 22¢ 16¢ $10 $7 −$2 (-25%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $16 +$9 +55%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 +$5 +23%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $43 +$22 +52%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $82 +$48 +58%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 +$24 +79%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $23 −$1 -5%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $25 +$14 +57%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$10 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 14 $128 −$120 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 14 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 14 $40 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 14 $8 +$4 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 14 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 14 $16 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET May 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 14 $5 $0 +2%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 09 $52 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET May 08 $200 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET May 08 $20 −$19 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET May 08 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 08 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET May 08 $16 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 07 $26 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 07 $37 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 07 $35 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 07 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 07 $69 +$12 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 07 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 07 $83 +$85 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 07 $117 −$112 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 07 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 07 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET May 07 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 07 $81 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET May 07 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 07 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET May 07 $26 −$22 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET May 07 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 07 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 07 $7 −$6 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 07 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 06 $31 +$8 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$175
sports 18% +$43
other 6% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 31¢ $31 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 69¢ $16 0m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Team Falcons 42¢ $10 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 59¢ $31 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 48¢ $53 3m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $16 6m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 37¢ $41 7m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 23¢ $26 9m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 55¢ $63 13m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 32¢ $73 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 23¢ $10 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 22¢ $20 14m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 28¢ $20 16m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 63¢ $20 18m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 61¢ $10 20m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $10 20m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 75¢ $20 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 73¢ $10 24m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 72¢ $20 24m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 78¢ $10 26m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 85¢ $5 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 87¢ $10 27m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 88¢ $5 28m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 89¢ $20 29m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $20 29m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 92¢ $23 31m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 92¢ $30 33m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Natus Vincere 87¢ $308 34m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 77¢ $276 36m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo SELL Team Falcons 19¢ $11 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +1.5% -8.1% 64% 43% +1.4%
≤30d 14 +1.5% -8.1% 64% 43% +1.4%
≤90d 140 -7.0% -15.9% 59% 38% -12.1%
all 140 -7.0% -15.9% 59% 38% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.9% 38% -12.1%
10% -23.9% 28% -20.5%
15% -31.3% 19% -28.2%
20% -38.0% 13% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.78 · official $89.98 · 677 history records