Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:35:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x0783…00d3
sports · 470 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$375 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$375 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$108
Realized−$375
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses156 / 290
Est. fees paid−$84
Open positions24
Markets (closed)446 / 470
History coverage3d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1111.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 24 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$200
7 days−$375
14 days−$375
30 days−$375
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Germany 84¢ 84¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 81¢ 80¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Under 77¢ 78¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 92¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 85¢ 84¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Guido Justo 87¢ 86¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 76¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? No 73¢ 72¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? No 87¢ 88¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? No 84¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? No 83¢ 82¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 2.5 Under 77¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? No 85¢ 81¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Spread: Knicks (-5.5) Spurs 78¢ 77¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Jun 12 $27 −$1 -3%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $32 −$4 -13%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $21 +$2 +8%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $23 −$3 -12%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $48 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $49 −$5 -9%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $11 −$1 -12%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $22 +$4 +18%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $12 $0 -3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $3 $0 -3%
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -6%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $67 −$27 -40%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 +$2 +17%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $43 +$5 +11%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $55 −$15 -27%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $12 −$3 -26%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 $0 -10%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $21 +$1 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $14 $0 -3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$377
other 5% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 75¢ $2 2m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $3 2m
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 87¢ $3 4m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 73¢ $3 5m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 74¢ $3 5m
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY No 84¢ $2 9m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 100¢ $9 10m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) SELL Bosnia and Herzegovina 73¢ $21 13m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? SELL Yes 87¢ $3 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 59¢ $1 17m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Kamilla Rakhimova 71¢ $1 19m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 72¢ $3 19m
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 88¢ $3 19m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 19¢ $1 26m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 80¢ $9 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 81¢ $3 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 80¢ $3 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 80¢ $3 29m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Marcos Giron 72¢ $6 33m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $3 33m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $3 34m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 73¢ $1 38m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 74¢ $3 38m
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 74¢ $3 38m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ $3 39m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 75¢ $3 39m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 72¢ $3 40m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 70¢ $3 40m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 71¢ $3 40m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 84¢ $2 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 -8.0% -16.7% 35% 22% -15.1%
≤30d 446 -8.0% -16.7% 35% 22% -15.1%
≤90d 446 -8.0% -16.7% 35% 22% -15.1%
all 446 -8.0% -16.7% 35% 22% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1111.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 22% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 11% -23.2%
15% -32.0% 5% -30.7%
20% -38.6% 2% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.82 · official $107.82 (match) · 2878 history records