Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x078e…dde1
crypto · 432 markets active 17h ago
0.0score
−$60 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$60
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses344 / 88
Open positions0
Markets (closed)432 / 432
History coverage18d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$15
14 days−$29
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $9 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $9 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +66%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 +2.0% -7.7% 81% 71% -10.3%
≤30d 432 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 66% -11.3%
≤90d 432 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 66% -11.3%
all 432 +0.5% -9.1% 80% 66% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 66% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 23% -19.8%
15% -25.7% 4% -27.6%
20% -33.0% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 872 history records