trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -49.6% | -54.4% | 33% | 33% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 40% | 40% | -12.3% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 40% | 40% | -12.3% |
| all | 15 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 40% | 40% | -12.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.1% | 40% | -12.3% |
| 10% | -38.6% | 33% | -20.7% |
| 15% | -44.5% | 27% | -28.4% |
| 20% | -50.0% | 20% | -35.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 25¢ | 1¢ | $20 | $1 | −$19 (-95%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $8 | −$4 | -50% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $110 | +$24 | +22% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $40 | +$21 | +53% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $14 | −$13 | -97% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 17 | $33 | +$9 | +29% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$10 | +98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $18 | +$29 | +157% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |