trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 45% | 45% | -13.5% |
| ≤30d | 31 | +11.0% | +0.4% | 48% | 48% | -6.6% |
| ≤90d | 33 | +4.3% | -5.7% | 45% | 45% | -30.6% |
| all | 36 | +11.3% | +0.7% | 50% | 50% | -25.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.7% | 50% | -25.0% |
| 10% | -8.9% | 50% | -32.2% |
| 15% | -17.7% | 47% | -38.7% |
| 20% | -25.8% | 42% | -44.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Brazil | 54¢ | 52¢ | $88 | $84 | −$4 (-5%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $50 | $48 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $50 | +$15 | +31% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $20 | +$18 | +90% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$10 | +96% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $47 | −$46 | -99% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $71 | +$67 | +94% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $56 | +$75 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $71 | +$52 | +73% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$2 | -4% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $64 | +$73 | +114% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$5 | +53% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $55 | +$26 | +48% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $51 | +$173 | +337% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $85 | −$84 | -99% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$51 | +250% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $152 | +$106 | +70% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $223 | −$220 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$81 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $111 | +$45 | +41% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Mar 27 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Mar 23 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 26 | Jan 26 | $5 | +$4 | +75% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | Jan 26 | $20 | +$15 | +76% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January? | Jan 26 | $90 | +$104 | +116% |