Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x079c…0bae
sports · 63 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses25 / 38
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage59d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $9 −$6 -61%
Lakers vs. Rockets May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Pistons vs. Magic May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $3 $0 -8%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? May 05 $1 −$1 -70%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $2 +$5 +232%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $14 $0 +0%
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? May 02 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? May 02 $2 −$2 -86%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw? May 02 $2 $0 +2%
Cavaliers vs. Raptors May 02 $1 +$2 +152%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 30 $2 +$3 +145%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Apr 29 $8 +$6 +73%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $2 −$1 -26%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $2 +$3 +137%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Apr 28 $5 +$1 +15%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 26 $2 $0 +20%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 26 $1 +$1 +101%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 26 $1 +$1 +83%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 25 $1 $0 +6%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $2 +$3 +142%
Suns vs. Thunder Apr 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 24 $2 $0 +2%
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) Apr 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 22 $2 +$3 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$9
crypto 29% −$5
other 25% +$2
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -35.8% -41.9% 43% 36% -19.4%
≤30d 14 -35.8% -41.9% 43% 36% -19.4%
≤90d 63 -23.8% -31.1% 40% 32% -15.9%
all 63 -23.8% -31.1% 40% 32% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.1% 32% -15.9%
10% -37.7% 24% -23.9%
15% -43.7% 22% -31.3%
20% -49.2% 19% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 157 history records