Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:43:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x079e…b425
crypto · 838 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,527 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,527 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,527
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses333 / 505
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)838 / 838
History coverage85d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 838 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$94
14 days−$303
30 days−$460
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 6? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 30? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 29? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 6? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 30? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 22? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +75%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$7 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$22 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $78 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $16 +$7 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$14 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $31 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$22 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$37 +350%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $41 +$34 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$20 +99%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$10 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$26 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$11 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$12 +60%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$6 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$1,305
weather 8% −$201
sports 2% −$10
other 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 57m
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL No 16¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 31¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 36¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $43 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $30 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $23 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -17.9% -25.7% 39% 39% -18.1%
≤30d 369 -21.8% -29.2% 34% 33% -21.7%
≤90d 838 -18.9% -26.6% 40% 37% -25.0%
all 838 -18.9% -26.6% 40% 37% -25.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 37% -25.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 33% -32.2%
15% -40.1% 29% -38.8%
20% -45.9% 23% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2083 history records