Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:03:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07b2…698a
crypto · 458 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$9 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses284 / 174
Open positions0
Markets (closed)458 / 458
History coverage67d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day15.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$7
14 days−$1
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 24? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 3? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 20? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on May 17? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 8? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 27? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 27? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 24? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13? No 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 +$1 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $18 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$6 +119%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$4 +69%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 61% −$8
crypto 39% +$11
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 8h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $3 8h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju SELL Yes 100¢ $7 8h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 52¢ $5 13h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 16h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 16h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $8 17h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 17h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 17h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 18h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 18h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $0 22h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 22h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 91¢ $9 23h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 26h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 26h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 26h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 26h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $10 27h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 27h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 84¢ $8 28h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 84¢ $8 29h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 30h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $10 31h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 37h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 86¢ $9 39h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -2.6% -11.9% 85% 23% -11.1%
≤30d 153 -2.0% -11.4% 83% 26% -9.8%
≤90d 458 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 41% -9.5%
all 458 -0.8% -10.3% 62% 41% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 41% -9.5%
10% -18.8% 36% -18.1%
15% -26.7% 33% -26.0%
20% -33.9% 23% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1076 history records