Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07b2…3bcf
crypto · 1888 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1369 / 510
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1879 / 1888
History coverage18d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day120.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 1879 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$11
14 days−$15
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 63¢ 26¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-58%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$32
other 10% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 18m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1245 -1.0% -10.4% 69% 67% -10.3%
≤30d 1879 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 63% -10.1%
≤90d 1879 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 63% -10.1%
all 1879 -0.5% -10.0% 73% 63% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover120.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 63% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 54% -18.7%
15% -26.4% 33% -26.6%
20% -33.6% 15% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.89 · official $3.43 · 3500 history records