trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +65.1% | +49.4% | 67% | 67% | -31.9% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 43% | 43% | -49.9% |
| all | 14 | -12.9% | -21.2% | 43% | 43% | -49.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.2% | 43% | -49.9% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 43% | -54.6% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 36% | -59.0% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 29% | -63.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $93 | $93 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $54 | −$53 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $22 | +$33 | +148% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +148% |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 30 | $13 | −$3 | -23% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | Apr 29 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? | Apr 29 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 | Apr 28 | $9 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 23 | $25 | +$7 | +27% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 20 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 19 | $9 | +$10 | +105% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 19 | $48 | −$48 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-18? | Apr 19 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |