Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T12:09:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x07be…5120 crypto 77 markets active 2h ago coverage 583d
TRAPdo not copy Fresh edge⚠ Wins small, loses big
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit from just two bets (not replicable)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)! loses its big bets
Total PnL −$15 (-0%) realized −$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate58%44W / 32L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$198per market
Trades / day0.2pace
Kalshi-fit77%portable
Net worth$34now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 73% −$11
sports 25% −$4
crypto 1% $0
other 1% −$1
tech 0% +$1
culture 0% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 6 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
all 76 -0.4% -9.9% 58% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.5% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 43% · top 2 84% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$500) wins small, loses big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.15 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

583d coverage
Net worth$34
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses44 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)76 / 77
History coverage583d
Avg bet$198
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 76 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $34 $34 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will BNB reach $900 in May? Jun 02 $9 $0 +0%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in May? Jun 02 $28 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April? May 08 $3 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April? May 08 $36 $0 +0%
Will Amazon reach $296 in March? Apr 01 $8 $0 +0%
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March? Apr 01 $31 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January? Feb 04 $4 $0 +0%
Will Netflix reach $298 in January? Feb 04 $35 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $230 in November? Dec 03 $39 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? Nov 04 $17 $0 +1%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 26 $1,765 −$2 -0%
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 26 $1,921 −$2 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 26 $1,809 −$2 -0%
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 26 $1,926 −$2 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 26 $1,806 −$2 -0%
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Oct 26 $1,939 −$2 -0%
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? Sep 18 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $100 in July? Aug 04 $3 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? Jul 03 $2 $0 +0%
Solana all time high in May? Jun 03 $1 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $10 before June? Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 before June? Jun 03 $2 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? Jun 03 $2 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $250 in April? May 02 $2 $0 +0%
Solana above $120 on April 18? Apr 19 $1 $0 +1%
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 in March? Apr 03 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin all time high by March 31? Apr 03 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14? Mar 15 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14? Mar 15 $2 $0 +0%
Will Trump post 220-239 times on Truth Feb 21-28? Mar 04 $1 $0 +0%
Dogecoin above $0.26 on February 28? Mar 04 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $95000 and $97000 on Feb 28? Mar 04 $2 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025? Mar 04 $2 $0 +0%
Will the market cap of $LIBRA (FDV) be between $1.5b and $2b on Feb 21 Feb 23 $1 $0 +0%
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 19 $2,648 −$3 -0%
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Feb 19 $881 −$1 -0%
Will ETHBTC be more than .033 on February 7? Feb 08 $3 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid exploit before February? Feb 02 $1 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025? Feb 02 $2 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025? Feb 02 $2 $0 +0%
Will Biden resign before inauguration? Jan 21 $2 $0 +0%
Ripple above $2.40 on January 17? Jan 19 $1 $0 +1%
Will LA wildfires burn 70-80k acres by Sunday? Jan 13 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? Jan 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana above $215 on January 10? Jan 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9? Jan 12 $1 $0 +0%
Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks? Jan 12 $2 $0 +0%
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday? Jan 06 $1 $0 +0%
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-30? Nov 27 $5 $0 -0%
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-30? Nov 27 $7 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? BUY No 100¢ $34 2h
Will BNB reach $900 in May? BUY No 100¢ $9 24d
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $168 in May? BUY No 100¢ $28 25d
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April? BUY No 100¢ $3 53d
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April? BUY No 100¢ $36 57d
Will Amazon reach $296 in March? BUY No 100¢ $8 81d
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 end of March? BUY No 100¢ $31 84d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in January? BUY No 100¢ $4 141d
Will Netflix reach $298 in January? BUY No 100¢ $35 143d
Will Solana reach $230 in November? BUY No 100¢ $39 204d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $1,764 236d
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 100¢ $1,765 236d
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $1,919 236d
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 100¢ $1,921 236d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,807 236d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,809 236d
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL No 100¢ $1,924 236d
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? BUY No 100¢ $1,926 236d
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,804 236d
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,806 236d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $1,937 236d
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $1,939 236d
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? BUY No 99¢ $17 239d
Will Solana dip to $140 in August? BUY No 99¢ $1 299d
Will Solana dip to $100 in July? BUY No 100¢ $3 326d
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? BUY No 100¢ $2 358d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 before June? BUY No 100¢ $2 388d
Solana all time high in May? BUY No 100¢ $1 389d
Will Hyperliquid dip to $10 before June? BUY No 100¢ $2 389d
Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? BUY No 99¢ $2 390d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.82 · official $33.82 (match) · 185 history records