trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.4% | -10.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 40% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 30 | +5.1% | -4.9% | 57% | 17% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.9% | 17% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -14.0% | 13% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -22.3% | 10% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 7% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $24 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 21 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 20 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 19 | $58 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | May 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | May 24 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? | May 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League? | May 23 | $5 | +$6 | +120% |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | May 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese | May 15 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | May 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 06 | $4 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | Apr 23 | $5 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 20 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on February 26? | Mar 03 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Mississippi State vs. Alabama | Mar 03 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Nets | Feb 26 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26? | Feb 25 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of | Feb 25 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| North Alabama vs. Central Arkansas | Feb 24 | $14 | +$9 | +70% |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 23 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| Arkansas vs. Auburn | Feb 20 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |