Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:23:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07e8…ed9f
crypto · 317 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,374 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,374 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$1,374
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses223 / 562
Open positions0
Markets (closed)785 / 317
History coverage3d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day982.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 785 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,384
7 days−$1,374
14 days−$1,374
30 days−$1,374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+122%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+137%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -426%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +321%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$2 +843%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$5 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -446%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$4 -260%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$4 +1066%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$1 -651%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$3 +1761%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$6 +1132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$4 -1321%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +163%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$5 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$3 -507%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -592%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 785 +10.4% -0.1% 28% 24% -17.7%
≤30d 785 +10.4% -0.1% 28% 24% -17.7%
≤90d 785 +10.4% -0.1% 28% 24% -17.7%
all 785 +10.4% -0.1% 28% 24% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover982.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.1% 24% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -9.7% 22% -25.6%
15% -18.4% 19% -32.8%
20% -26.4% 17% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.45 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records