Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:37:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07ea…0758
crypto · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$26
Realized−$7
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses14 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)23 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day64.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 48¢ $40 $24 −$16 (-41%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 34¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 61¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 30¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 17¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 62¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $36 +$5 +14%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$14 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +0%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$21 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 61% −$22
sports 22% +$1
other 17% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 82¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 71¢ $5 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $15 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 89¢ $5 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 83¢ $6 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -6.3% -15.3% 61% 52% -12.3%
≤30d 23 -6.3% -15.3% 61% 52% -12.3%
≤90d 23 -6.3% -15.3% 61% 52% -12.3%
all 23 -6.3% -15.3% 61% 52% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 52% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 26% -20.7%
15% -30.8% 26% -28.4%
20% -37.6% 22% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.84 · official $25.84 (match) · 81 history records