Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:47:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

07
0x07ee…c605
sports · 755 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$152 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$235 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized−$235
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses567 / 169
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions19
Markets (closed)736 / 755
History coverage85d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 19 History 736 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days−$98
30 days−$250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 93¢ 88¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? No 93¢ 93¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan India 93¢ 91¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? No 90¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? No 95¢ 95¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? No 94¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 93¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 95¢ 94¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? No 92¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? Yes 91¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? No 92¢ 92¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? No 90¢ 90¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Yes 91¢ 88¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 88¢ 88¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? No 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28? No 89¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29? No 88¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? No 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? No 91¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? No 94¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin Jun 14 $3 $0 -3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $3 $0 -0%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -60%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $3 $0 -4%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $6 $0 -8%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +11%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $3 $0 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $12 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +7%
Will Alex Pelbath be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? Jun 11 $16 +$1 +7%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Will India win? Jun 06 $15 +$1 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $15 −$5 -35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 37% −$44
crypto 30% −$60
other 19% −$143
world 6% +$2
politics 3% −$8
finance 3% +$19
tech 1% −$5
culture 1% +$4
economics 0% +$2
weather 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 95¢ $6 19m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 95¢ $3 20m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman SELL Zeynep Sonmez 99¢ $3 32m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin SELL Anhelina Kalinina 88¢ $3 42m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 93¢ $3 1h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY India 93¢ $3 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 93¢ $3 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 93¢ $3 1h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 94¢ $3 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinin BUY Anhelina Kalinina 90¢ $3 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman BUY Zeynep Sonmez 92¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? BUY No 92¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? BUY No 95¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? SELL No 98¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY No 92¢ $6 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? BUY Yes 93¢ $6 6h
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? SELL No 92¢ $5 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL No 97¢ $6 9h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? SELL No 94¢ $3 16h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? SELL No 99¢ $3 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $5 17h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 22h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $6 23h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 40¢ $1 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland SELL Scotland 99¢ $3 26h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Scotland 88¢ $3 28h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 94¢ $3 28h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 90¢ $3 28h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 91¢ $3 29h
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? BUY Yes 91¢ $3 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +0.0% -9.5% 81% 15% -8.2%
≤30d 526 -2.2% -11.5% 73% 11% -11.9%
≤90d 736 -1.1% -10.5% 77% 12% -11.0%
all 736 -1.1% -10.5% 77% 12% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 12% -11.0%
10% -19.0% 1% -19.5%
15% -26.9% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.04 · official $73.03 (match) · 1806 history records