Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T13:56:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
07 0x07ef…ff3b crypto 51 markets active 1h ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$419 (-16%) realized −$419 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate53%27W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$50per market
Trades / day52.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$146
14 days−$548
30 days−$548
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -8.3% -17.0% 62% 43% -30.0%
≤30d 51 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 35% -28.9%
≤90d 51 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 35% -28.9%
all 51 -11.6% -20.0% 53% 35% -28.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 35% -28.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 22% -35.7%
15% -34.6% 12% -41.9%
20% -41.0% 6% -47.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 38% · top 2 57% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -21% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -21% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -21% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$31 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$419
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses27 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage8d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day52.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $8 −$5 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $29 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 23 $29 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $17 +$13 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 23 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 23 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 23 $19 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $5 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $14 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 21 $7 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 21 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $16 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $7 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 20 $17 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $2 +$2 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 20 $11 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 20 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 20 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 20 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $46 −$15 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $129 −$107 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $234 −$13 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $405 −$21 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $207 −$91 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $413 +$40 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $31 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $319 −$253 -80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $55 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 426 history records