trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Japan | 91¢ | 90¢ | $19 | $19 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-93%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5) | Jun 03 | $16 | +$1 | +10% |
| Exact Score: Inter Kashi FC 1 - 1 East Bengal FC? | Jun 03 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | May 21 | $1,376 | +$2 | +0% |
| Spread: Valencia CF (-2.5) | May 21 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) | May 21 | $17 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 21 | $1,416 | −$67 | -5% |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary electi | Mar 20 | $438 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Mar 20 | $1,428 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 20 | $42 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Mar 20 | $409 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Mar 20 | $413 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Mar 20 | $46 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Mar 20 | $1,424 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Mar 20 | $121 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 20 | $39 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Mar 20 | $86 | +$1 | +2% |
| NJIT Highlanders vs. Merrimack College Warriors (W) | Mar 20 | $92 | +$108 | +117% |
| Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 116.5 | Mar 20 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | +6.1% | -4.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 67% | 6% | -10.9% |
| all | 18 | +1.6% | -8.0% | 67% | 6% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 6% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 6% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -24.9% | 6% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 6% | -34.3% |