Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:26:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x080a…ee79
crypto · 205 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
−$2,632 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,651 · open +$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$219
Realized−$2,651
Unrealized+$19
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses87 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions3
Markets (closed)202 / 205
History coverage157d
Avg bet$121
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 3 History 202 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$46
30 days+$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 57¢ 68¢ $100 $119 +$19 (+19%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3? Jun 03 $10 +$21 +202%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3? Jun 02 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31? May 31 $10 +$93 +886%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June May 30 $10 −$10 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31? May 30 $10 −$10 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31? May 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31? May 30 $10 +$2 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on May 28? May 28 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28? May 28 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 28? May 28 $10 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 28? May 28 $10 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 27 $1 $0 +12%
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr May 27 $15 +$6 +42%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix May 27 $20 +$17 +86%
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? May 27 $110 +$66 +60%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr May 03 $25 −$25 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Apr 30 $51 −$50 -98%
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Apr 02 $10 +$16 +160%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japa Apr 02 $25 +$37 +148%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Apr 02 $25 +$68 +272%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16? Mar 23 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 23 $10 +$2 +20%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? Mar 23 $100 +$54 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Mar 17 $45 −$45 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? Mar 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16? Mar 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? Mar 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 16 $10 +$11 +110%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 16 $13 +$117 +900%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? Mar 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Mar 11 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Mar 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Mar 11 $120 −$110 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Mar 08 $40 +$13 +33%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? Mar 08 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Feb 23 $50 +$20 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Feb 23 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Feb 23 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Feb 23 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Feb 23 $50 +$32 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Feb 23 $77 +$33 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$2,589
other 3% −$107
weather 1% +$48
culture 0% +$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $50 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $51 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4? BUY Yes 40¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 3? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 3? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 10d
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June BUY Yes 29¢ $10 13d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 13d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31? BUY No 84¢ $10 13d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31? SELL Yes 4¢ $13 13d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 14d
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 31? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 14d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 28? BUY No 94¢ $10 16d
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 28? BUY No 92¢ $10 16d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 28? BUY No 92¢ $10 16d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on May 28? BUY No 97¢ $10 16d
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 18d
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 57¢ $101 19d
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix BUY Yes 53¢ $20 40d
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr BUY Yes 70¢ $15 40d
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Pr BUY Yes 64¢ $25 40d
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 BUY Yes 36¢ $51 43d
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japa BUY Yes 40¢ $25 76d
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand BUY Yes 38¢ $10 76d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 81d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $20 87d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $25 87d
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 87d
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? BUY $80k 62¢ $110 88d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 18 +35.2% +22.3% 61% 39% +34.0%
≤90d 35 +40.4% +27.0% 54% 43% +28.0%
all 202 -15.3% -23.4% 43% 40% -19.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.4% 40% -19.6%
10% -30.7% 36% -27.3%
15% -37.4% 35% -34.3%
20% -43.5% 32% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.23 · official $219.23 (match) · 394 history records