trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 13% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 12% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 10 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 29 | $214 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 23 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 18 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 16 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 10 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | May 07 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 18 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 12 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Apr 04 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 29 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $108 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Mar 17 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 08 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 07 | $108 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 04 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 25 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 24 | $108 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 18 | $108 | $0 | -0% |