Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:58:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

08
0x081c…ac4c
crypto · 1049 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,232 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,917 · open +$36
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$2,917
Unrealized+$36
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses554 / 494
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1048 / 1049
History coverage50d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day37.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$422
7 days−$395
14 days−$1,652
30 days−$2,929
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 86¢ $50 $86 +$36 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $141 $0 −$141 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$50 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$54 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $55 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$49 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $54 −$52 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$49 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$48 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $61 +$39 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$44 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $56 +$44 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$48 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $122 +$78 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $113 −$109 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$86 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $115 +$85 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $119 −$115 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$93 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$111 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $97 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $107 +$93 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$122 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $109 +$91 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $107 −$104 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $106 −$102 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $97 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $109 −$106 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $111 +$89 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $120 +$80 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$122 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $111 −$108 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $113 +$87 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$102 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,882
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $50 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $50 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $56 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $56 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $52 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 272 +0.5% -9.1% 56% 56% -11.5%
≤30d 742 -6.0% -14.9% 53% 53% -17.0%
≤90d 1048 -4.3% -13.4% 53% 53% -16.4%
all 1048 -4.3% -13.4% 53% 53% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 53% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 53% -24.4%
15% -29.3% 53% -31.7%
20% -36.2% 52% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.50 · official $61.50 · 2392 history records